Don't Worry About the Vase

The sky is not blue. Not today, not in New York City. At least it’s now mostly white, yesterday it was orange. Even indoors, everyone is coughing and…

Jun 8 •

Zvi Mowshowitz

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Monthly Roundup #7: June 2023

This month’s roundup of non-AI things, with the good, the bad and the uncondoned, along with several additional individual topics. I’m also trying out…

Jun 6 •

Zvi Mowshowitz

AI #14: A Very Good Sentence

“Mitigating the risk of extinction from AI should be a global priority alongside other societal-scale risks such as pandemics and nuclear war.” That is…

Jun 1 •

Zvi Mowshowitz

To Predict What Happens, Ask What Happens

When predicting conditional probability of catastrophe from loss of human control over AGI, there are many distinct cruxes. This essay does not attempt…

May 31 •

Zvi Mowshowitz

Stages of Survival

This post outlines a fake framework for thinking about how we might navigate the future. I found it useful to my thinking, hopefully you will find it…

May 31 •

Zvi Mowshowitz

Types and Degrees of Alignment

What would it mean to solve the alignment problem sufficiently to avoid catastrophe? What do people even mean when they talk about alignment? The term…

May 31 •

Zvi Mowshowitz

The Crux List

Introduction This post is a highly incomplete list of questions where I either have large uncertainty, have observed strong disagreement with my…

May 31 •

Zvi Mowshowitz

AI #13: Potential Algorithmic Improvements

At least two potentially important algorithmic improvements had papers out this week. Both fall under ‘this is a well-known human trick, how about we…

May 25 •

Zvi Mowshowitz

Don't Worry About the Vase

A world made of gears. Doing both speed premium short term updates and long term world model building. Explorations include AI, policy, rationality, Covid and medicine, strategy games and game design, and more.

Don't Worry About the Vase

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