Discussion about this post

User's avatar
Lucas Wiman's avatar

> Terrance Tao: These are extremely challenging. I think they will resist AIs for several years at least.

This is a pretty substantial claim. Tao is both a brilliant mathematician, and someone who has put in real effort to engage with generative AI and evaluate its capabilities for research-level math. If AIs start doing well on this bench mark before "several years", that would be worth a significant update in AGI timelines.

Expand full comment
Brett Paul Bellmore's avatar

"The cancer case is likely similar to the asthma case, where slow developing cancers lead to more other health care,"

I'm a great example of that: Prostate cancer saved my life, because the preoperative physical for the surgery discovered my lymphoma while it was still stage 1. And as lymphoma only really has a good cure rate when it's accidentally discovered early, most lymphoma survivors have similar stories.

Expand full comment
36 more comments...

No posts