Trump’s tactic for everything (which Sacks seems to have adopted) is ABB - always be bullying. OTOH, he often changes his tune when people meet with him in private, which is what I would recommend Dario does
I'm used to hearing it ABBAB though, Always Be Berating And Belittling. Specificity is good! One in a long series of "government transparency is Bad, Acktually" lessons.
"David Sacks (2024, saying helpful things): AI is a wonderful tool for the betterment of humanity; AGI is a potential successor species."
Perhaps ironically, there _is_ a link to the jobs discussion:
For AGI to be a successor species, it needs to be able to build and maintain its physical substrate:
Mine the metals and sand, grow the silicon crystals, fabricate chips from the wafers and so on. So it needs to be able to perform all of these tasks without humans, otherwise it is still dependent on us.
My guess is that this will happen, and on approximately the same timescale as the replacement of blue collar jobs by robotics.
My other guess is that Sacks was not making this link. Please correct me if I'm wrong!
As an avid follower of your substack AND listener of All In (yes, we exist) I just want to commend the constructive tone of this piece. I think it's really in the spirit of what they do on the pod (at its best) and I hope they take you up on your offer to discuss.
Nothing matters except having no restrictions on their behavior. Treating it like an honest intellectual exercise is missing this point.
All-in is a group of people who know they can create their own truth and their minions will repeat it. They will create new terms and their followers will argue assiduously for their veracity. They will deliberately subvert the meaning of terms that we believe represent something.
And perhaps the worst part is a group of people who stumbled onto ChatGPT - none of them expected it when it happened and none could predict it. Yet they throw around percentages like they think they are playing power.
It is a dangerous group.
This isn’t poker. There is no way of predicting outcomes when you are talking about the most complex thing ever created by mankind. Its very definition is stochastic and unpredictable.
Trump’s tactic for everything (which Sacks seems to have adopted) is ABB - always be bullying. OTOH, he often changes his tune when people meet with him in private, which is what I would recommend Dario does
Yeah I am much more optimistic about talking in private than in public, if he was up for it
I only read up to "the point of this post" but I appreciate effort.
----
This is pretty obvious but are you reaching out to these people outside of the blogposts? (no need to answer)
Does ABB (Always be bullying) come before or after ABC (Always be closing)?
Put the pot down, covfefe is for closers only...
I'm used to hearing it ABBAB though, Always Be Berating And Belittling. Specificity is good! One in a long series of "government transparency is Bad, Acktually" lessons.
Podcast episode for this post:
https://open.substack.com/pub/dwatvpodcast/p/in-which-i-make-the-mistake-of-fully
"David Sacks (2024, saying helpful things): AI is a wonderful tool for the betterment of humanity; AGI is a potential successor species."
Perhaps ironically, there _is_ a link to the jobs discussion:
For AGI to be a successor species, it needs to be able to build and maintain its physical substrate:
Mine the metals and sand, grow the silicon crystals, fabricate chips from the wafers and so on. So it needs to be able to perform all of these tasks without humans, otherwise it is still dependent on us.
My guess is that this will happen, and on approximately the same timescale as the replacement of blue collar jobs by robotics.
My other guess is that Sacks was not making this link. Please correct me if I'm wrong!
As an avid follower of your substack AND listener of All In (yes, we exist) I just want to commend the constructive tone of this piece. I think it's really in the spirit of what they do on the pod (at its best) and I hope they take you up on your offer to discuss.
This is all Roy Cohn.
Nothing matters except having no restrictions on their behavior. Treating it like an honest intellectual exercise is missing this point.
All-in is a group of people who know they can create their own truth and their minions will repeat it. They will create new terms and their followers will argue assiduously for their veracity. They will deliberately subvert the meaning of terms that we believe represent something.
And perhaps the worst part is a group of people who stumbled onto ChatGPT - none of them expected it when it happened and none could predict it. Yet they throw around percentages like they think they are playing power.
It is a dangerous group.
This isn’t poker. There is no way of predicting outcomes when you are talking about the most complex thing ever created by mankind. Its very definition is stochastic and unpredictable.
Haha that’s no mistake. It’s an excellent podcast. Knowing what you’re hearing..