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FBV's avatar

I'm glad you and your family are feeling better!

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alesziegler's avatar

This is magnificent collection of things to think about, thank you. I cannot quite grasp why you think SA data is so incompatible with the rest, though. Here I do not mean cited paper, just raw data showing wave (possibly!) peaking without huge numbers of dead people.

Let´s say that omicron is 40 % less virulent than delta for someone unvaxed and without previous infection. Then let´s assume that previous infection, while not providing as much protection from reinfection by omicron, still provides good protection from hospitalization. Also, let´s assume South Africa had giant numbers of unrecorded previous infections, as many people think, with good reasons. Still doesn´t add up?

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