Epistemic Status: As with all my Covid-19 posts I'm not any kind of expert and am doubtless making a lot of mistakes. Yet it seems worthwhile to persist. In previous posts I've been focused my direct modeling on New York. That was for various reasons. It's the epicenter, it's where I live, it is the place where herd immunity potentially matters already, and data is better than trying to reconcile 50 different states.
Covid-19 4/30: Stuck in Limbo
Covid-19 4/30: Stuck in Limbo
Covid-19 4/30: Stuck in Limbo
Epistemic Status: As with all my Covid-19 posts I'm not any kind of expert and am doubtless making a lot of mistakes. Yet it seems worthwhile to persist. In previous posts I've been focused my direct modeling on New York. That was for various reasons. It's the epicenter, it's where I live, it is the place where herd immunity potentially matters already, and data is better than trying to reconcile 50 different states.