Previously: On R0 This new paper suggests that herd immunity could be achieved with only about 10% infected rather than the typically suggested 60%-70%. They claim this is due to differences in connectivity and thus exposure, and in susceptibility to infection. They claim that the best model fit for four European epidemics at 16%-26% for England, 9.4%-11% for Belgium, 7.1%-9.9% for Portugal, and 7.5%-21% for Spain.
New Paper on Herd Immunity Thresholds
New Paper on Herd Immunity Thresholds
New Paper on Herd Immunity Thresholds
Previously: On R0 This new paper suggests that herd immunity could be achieved with only about 10% infected rather than the typically suggested 60%-70%. They claim this is due to differences in connectivity and thus exposure, and in susceptibility to infection. They claim that the best model fit for four European epidemics at 16%-26% for England, 9.4%-11% for Belgium, 7.1%-9.9% for Portugal, and 7.5%-21% for Spain.