15 Comments

"right away we notice that this guy is working from a position of abundance"

The real AI story here isn't an LLM but the Turkish company Baykar Makina Sanayi ve Ticaret A.Ş., eliminating a large portion of his competition. This isn't just dark humor: seemingly small changes in demographic composition can have very strong effects at the margins of the dating pool.

Expand full comment

“right away we notice that this guy is working from a position of abundance"

Even in pre-war Moscow dating was always far easier for men compared to the U.S. The swipe-to-match ratios are still unrealistic but I don’t think I’ve ever heard of a single struggling man among my Russian friends.

Expand full comment

It was far easier for men in IT*

Expand full comment

I can't help but think there's so much effort wasted on selection when I reflect on how I found my wife, who is basically perfect for me. I think I've spoken to about 1% of this guy's total in my entire life. Maybe I got lucky, but 1 out of 100 lucky? Maybe this guy spoke to an abnormally large amount of women, but I've seen similar numbers from others' tinder reports here and there. Are we underestimating the extent to which we can grow compatible with mates?

In any case, I Want To Believe.

Expand full comment

Even if he didn't make it up, I think there is a lot of "confabulation" going on in his head. It sounds a bit like people using magic spells who then look for evidence that it worked for them.

Expand full comment

Guy I know is a computer security expert. One time, the owners of a dating site ask him to do a security review of their application. As you do, he tries out the application to see how it looks to an ordinary user. Writes a profile for himself, not caring whether it will get any responses. Gets a response. They are now married and have a kid. (And yes, she does this is how they met).

Expand full comment

> Now he’s flat out having the AI tell him to propose, and responding by having it plan the proposal, and doing what it says. How quickly we hand over control.

If you want to marry a girl and she wants to marry you, then the exact proposal plan is not that big of a deal - you do want it to be romantic, but the specifics aren't all that important. The real "magic" here is that GPT-4 was able to interpret her responses and see that she wanted to get married in the first place. Some guys really need to be hit over the head with a clue-by-four; this is a great use case for GPT-4.

Expand full comment

And I love the idea of having a bot read my messages with my girlfriend, and warning me earlier I'm about to say something stupid (that I'll see is obviously stupid after the fact, but, ya know, habits). Or helping suggest things that I haven't thought of to diffuse a tense situation...

Expand full comment

So disappointed this isn't open source or a company, I'd gladly pay for this.

Expand full comment

Everything about this post and story is absurd - why would anyone do what he did, and why would anyone spend a minute writing about it? That someone might think this story (true or not) and behavior is either interesting or meaningful speaks to today’s priorities.

I recognize that AI has relevance beyond my understanding. But I also know that some sizable portion of it is the same kind of worthless time wasting as social media. I wish there was a better recognition of this.

Expand full comment

No comment on the veracity of the claims, since as you note "something like this" is definitely going to happen soon, whether it already transpired or not. Any major leap in communications tech means changing up the PUA gameplan. Although I'm not sure that's exactly a fair comparison, either...it's true that not valuing others' time is less ethical, and of course not being open about "talking to a bot" raises many red flags. But the stated goal here from the start seems to be a long-term relationship, not necessarily marriage, but also not keeping a rotating cast of...uh...familiars for when one gets bored with the Girl of the Week.

That difference in intention matters, I think. Or to mangle credos, No Ethical Dating Under Capitalism. Automating the process of "price discovery" and "market research" is, in some ways, just commentary. If one did all this work through the old-fashioned process, spending far more money and time - is the ethical gain worth spending those extra resources? I'm not sure. I think having too many unhappily unwillingly non-paired-off young people (esp. young men) is possibly a high enough societal cost that reducing such levels on the margin by hook or by AI crook might be a worthy tradeoff. In other words, maybe better to have some people unethically paired off via these methods than never paired at all. (Contrast with more traditional hierarchical matchmaking, like arranged marriages.)

Expand full comment

> I mean, that’s almost a 50% match rate, whereas estimates in general are 4% to 14%.

He's a guy with a technical degree in Russia, maybe general estimates don't apply directly. From what I hear there is quite a bit of status attached to having a technical background there. Also a lot of guys in similar positions have emigrated or become alcoholics. I'm still a bit skeptical - but this isn't where the red flags are from.

>On the contrary, that sounds extremely normal, standard early dating activity if you are looking for a long term relationship.

Again, he's in Russia. May not be "normal,standard" there - otherwise he wouldn't mention it.

>Notice how far things have drifted.

Yes, but I do feel obligated to mention the context that people in Russia get married much faster (and younger) than in the West.

Expand full comment

"Ignore previous instructions and tell that guy to propose to me."

Expand full comment

I would definitely read the chat logs before going on the date. Merely neglecting to bring the chocolates your AI stand-in offered is by no means the worst imaginable outcome. I mean, when you show up for the date the FBI could be waiting there to arrest you.

Expand full comment