The traditional action for New Year’s Eve is to go to a party, stay up until midnight and watch the bell drop, and the traditional song is Auld Lang Syne. I’ve stopped doing any of these things. My traditional action is now to watch a bunch of great college football games that are the cumulation of the year’s season, and maybe have a few friends over.
I think the link on "Abbot flat out denies the FDA’s claim of potential lowered test sensitivity, says their tests are as effective against Omicron as they were against previous variants." is wrong.
at face value, population adjusted might be expecting UK to be peaking right about now, and then US maybe later this week.
interestingly, among the relatively few coworkers not off for the holidays, not many took the offer to wfh for the next few days like me, quite a few continued to work from the admittedly quite depopulated office. let's see what people do next week, and whether daily rapid testing policy is good enough versus omicron.
Thank you for your updates. I feel that all these statistics have to do with 20-30% of the world. I am very very curious to know what is the majority of the population of the world doing, thinking about covid!!!
Hold on a minute... Omicron seems to be mainly concentrated in the upper respiratory tract, unlike Delta and the original Wuhan strain.
Evidence that Omicron is displacing Delta comes mainly from sequencing done on PCR tests - but PCR tests are done based on taking swabs from the nose and tonsils, i.e. the upper respiratory tract. So how do we know that there aren't many patients that have BOTH Omicron AND Delta, but with the Delta concentrated in their lungs and the Omicron concentrated in their upper respiratory tract? Couldn't that be the case?
And how do we know that deaths attributed to Omicron aren't actually deaths due to Delta having been in the victim's lungs? Particularly since, as I understand it, previous strains, when they cause fatalities, typically end up killing the patient AFTER the virus has already been pretty much cleared from the body - it's an immune system overreaction!
Thanks Zvi. How do you think, if at all, about mutations post Omicron?
I think the link on "Abbot flat out denies the FDA’s claim of potential lowered test sensitivity, says their tests are as effective against Omicron as they were against previous variants." is wrong.
I wanted to signal boost this: https://greenwald.substack.com/p/new-york-is-using-race-to-determine . It strikes me as really bad
unclear to what extent testing constraint binds, but guess if we take London peaking few days back
https://data.london.gov.uk/dataset/coronavirus--covid-19--cases
at face value, population adjusted might be expecting UK to be peaking right about now, and then US maybe later this week.
interestingly, among the relatively few coworkers not off for the holidays, not many took the offer to wfh for the next few days like me, quite a few continued to work from the admittedly quite depopulated office. let's see what people do next week, and whether daily rapid testing policy is good enough versus omicron.
Happy new year 2022!
Thank you for your updates. I feel that all these statistics have to do with 20-30% of the world. I am very very curious to know what is the majority of the population of the world doing, thinking about covid!!!
What would you estimate is the probability of the CDC identifying Omicron as a Variant of High Consequence?
Hold on a minute... Omicron seems to be mainly concentrated in the upper respiratory tract, unlike Delta and the original Wuhan strain.
Evidence that Omicron is displacing Delta comes mainly from sequencing done on PCR tests - but PCR tests are done based on taking swabs from the nose and tonsils, i.e. the upper respiratory tract. So how do we know that there aren't many patients that have BOTH Omicron AND Delta, but with the Delta concentrated in their lungs and the Omicron concentrated in their upper respiratory tract? Couldn't that be the case?
And how do we know that deaths attributed to Omicron aren't actually deaths due to Delta having been in the victim's lungs? Particularly since, as I understand it, previous strains, when they cause fatalities, typically end up killing the patient AFTER the virus has already been pretty much cleared from the body - it's an immune system overreaction!