Obvious immediate use case seems to be stock footage or generic b roll. If you want a 10 second aerial shot of waves on a beach for your drug commercials voice-over I think Sora can already handle that. I don't know how relevant that will be in practice since I suspect there are already massive libraries of every kind of thing like that you could want available for quite cheap.
I put in an explicit note on the evidence that you made that mistake, but yes everyone involved understand this. That was the point, that people would believe that an AI could do that, despite it being very obviously not possible at this time.
I'm not clear that "everyone involved understand(sic) this"... It seemed to be a very trolling twitter/X play (tho I am not at all familiar with the OP or their agenda).
Second, strongly object to you stance of "it being very obviously not possible at this time". As a regular professional user of genAI image and sound tools, I totally believe that (with a few hours, possibly days) of work, that that clip of warriors springing from trees (etc etc) could have been synthesized and spliced together using 100% AI/Sora-genned footage. It would have taken some "massaging" and "prompt-tweaking", sure... but it IS, I believe, doable. Prove me wrong, kids.
I wonder if a central use case for ‘random cool video vaguely in this area of thing’ would be porn. I mean, you can imagine the possibilities. Also wonder to what extent your point about “real people actually did this” also applies here. It’s been a while, for me, but I would think the lack of this would become an issue.
It's weird. Maybe. There are some VERY exacting demands out there in that area, and some people willing to tolerate quite a bit of crazy if you give them the central thing they want. But of course OpenAI is not going to let them have it.
People are not creative and won't produce their own shows, but I predict we will get lots of good adaptations soon™️.
The material already exists. There are lots of examples of good adaptations. Visual is there. We're only missing consistent context + audio over a 90 minutes length. This is going to be a copy-right nightmare, so will most likely come from the open source world.
"Please give me an adaptation of the Dark Tower. Make it good this time, in the style of Sin City."
Hello, insane person here who wants to watch(mostly read tbh) content made by AI according to my own prompts. Despite not being able to replicate actually existing media that well, Generative AI has a denser set of points in Media Space such that for some random point, the closest thing is most likely AI generated rather than in the existing corpus of media. I expect there’s a continuum based on how much people value quality versus position in said Media Space.
In terms of predicting the pace of improvement, I didn’t think especially deeply about video generation but this lines up mostly with my timeline as evidenced by my bets on the Scott Alexander Manifold movie generation market. As time goes on, I am losing faith in the EMH due to consistent poor predictions on AI. I expect people will get more experience over the next few years and errors will stop having a directional bias.
Obvious immediate use case seems to be stock footage or generic b roll. If you want a 10 second aerial shot of waves on a beach for your drug commercials voice-over I think Sora can already handle that. I don't know how relevant that will be in practice since I suspect there are already massive libraries of every kind of thing like that you could want available for quite cheap.
That video you linked from near is not AI generated, it is from a real Bollywood movie. You should update and block that Twitter profile.
I put in an explicit note on the evidence that you made that mistake, but yes everyone involved understand this. That was the point, that people would believe that an AI could do that, despite it being very obviously not possible at this time.
I'm not clear that "everyone involved understand(sic) this"... It seemed to be a very trolling twitter/X play (tho I am not at all familiar with the OP or their agenda).
Second, strongly object to you stance of "it being very obviously not possible at this time". As a regular professional user of genAI image and sound tools, I totally believe that (with a few hours, possibly days) of work, that that clip of warriors springing from trees (etc etc) could have been synthesized and spliced together using 100% AI/Sora-genned footage. It would have taken some "massaging" and "prompt-tweaking", sure... but it IS, I believe, doable. Prove me wrong, kids.
Hard to prove a negative…
I wonder if a central use case for ‘random cool video vaguely in this area of thing’ would be porn. I mean, you can imagine the possibilities. Also wonder to what extent your point about “real people actually did this” also applies here. It’s been a while, for me, but I would think the lack of this would become an issue.
It's weird. Maybe. There are some VERY exacting demands out there in that area, and some people willing to tolerate quite a bit of crazy if you give them the central thing they want. But of course OpenAI is not going to let them have it.
People are not creative and won't produce their own shows, but I predict we will get lots of good adaptations soon™️.
The material already exists. There are lots of examples of good adaptations. Visual is there. We're only missing consistent context + audio over a 90 minutes length. This is going to be a copy-right nightmare, so will most likely come from the open source world.
"Please give me an adaptation of the Dark Tower. Make it good this time, in the style of Sin City."
Hello, insane person here who wants to watch(mostly read tbh) content made by AI according to my own prompts. Despite not being able to replicate actually existing media that well, Generative AI has a denser set of points in Media Space such that for some random point, the closest thing is most likely AI generated rather than in the existing corpus of media. I expect there’s a continuum based on how much people value quality versus position in said Media Space.
In terms of predicting the pace of improvement, I didn’t think especially deeply about video generation but this lines up mostly with my timeline as evidenced by my bets on the Scott Alexander Manifold movie generation market. As time goes on, I am losing faith in the EMH due to consistent poor predictions on AI. I expect people will get more experience over the next few years and errors will stop having a directional bias.
Oh, and FYI: https://manifold.markets/jgyou/what-will-the-main-commercial-user
Manifold version of Tyler's question. There are some interesting low-hanging fruits, including stock footage + custom backgrounds for websites.
AI Reading of this post:
https://askwhocastsai.substack.com/p/sora-what-by-zvi-mowshowitz