Don't Worry About the Vase

Essays and analysis about elections, media, sports, poker, and all the other things I care about.

Caplan and Candor

Underrated opportunities in science, technology, and society

Systems Politics and Regime Change

improving social epistemology, rewarding reasoned discourse

Start your day with pragmatic takes on politics and public policy.

Essays about buildings, infrastructure, and industrial technology.

P(A|B) = [P(A)*P(B|A)]/P(B), all the rest is commentary.

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