Sitemap - 2020 - Don't Worry About the Vase

Covid 12/31: Meet the New Year

Covid 12/24: We're F***ed, It's Over

On Robin Hanson's "Social Proof, but of What?"

Covid 12/17: The First Dose

Motive Ambiguity

Covid 12/10: Vaccine Approval Day in America

Covid 12/3: Land of Confusion

Covid 11/26: Thanksgiving

Covid 11/19: Don't Do Stupid Things

2020 Election: Prediction Markets versus Polling/Modeling Assessment and Postmortem

Covid 11/12: The Winds of Winter

Covid 11/5: Don't Mention the War

Covid Covid Covid Covid Covid 10/29: All We Ever Talk About

Spoiler-Free Review and then Semi-Walkthrough: Star Traders: Frontiers

Covid 10/22: Europe in Crisis

The Uncertainty of Death and Taxes

PredictIt: Presidential Market is Increasingly Wrong

Covid 10/15: Playtime is Over

Covid 10/8: October Surprise

Covid 10/1: The Long Haul

Covid 9/24: Until Morale Improves

Spoiler-Free Review: The Stanley Parable

Covid 9/17: It's Worse

Spoiler-Free Review: Orwell

Free Money at PredictIt: 2020 General Election

Covid 9/10: Vitamin D

The Four Children of the Seder as the Simulacra Levels

Covid 9/3: Meet the New CDC

Spoiler-Free Review: Death and Taxes

Covid 8/27: The Fall of the CDC

I Started a Sports and Gambling Substack

Covid 8/20: A Little Progress

Wordpress Destroys Editing Process, Seeking Alternatives

Covid 8/13: Same As It Ever Was

Covid 8/6: The Case of the Missing Data

Unifying the Simulacra Definitions

Covid 7/30: Whack a Mole

New Paper on Herd Immunity Thresholds

Covid 7/23: The Second Summit

Fresh Bread

Covid 7/16: Becoming the Mask

Covid-19: Analysis of Mortality Data

Covid 7/9: Lies, Damn Lies and Death Rates

Spoiler-Free Review: Horizon Zero Dawn

Spoiler-Free Review: Witcher 3: Wild Hunt (plus a Spoilerific section)

Covid 7/2: It Could Be Worse

Covid 6/25: The Dam Breaks

Linkpost: M21 Review: We Have Normality

New York Times, Please Do Not Threaten The Safety of Scott Alexander By Revealing His True Name

Covid-19 6/18: The Virus Goes South

Simulacra Levels and their Interactions

Covid-19 6/11: Bracing For a Second Wave

Covid-19 6/4: The Eye of the Storm

Spoiler-Free Review: CrossCells

Spoiler-Free Review: Monster Train

Covid-19: My Current Model

Covid-19 5/29: Dumb Reopening

Spoiler-Free Review: Assassin's Creed Odyssey

Plague in Assassin's Creed Odyssey

Mazes Sequence Summary

Do It Now

Covid 5/14: Limbo Under

Legends of Runeterra: Early Review

Covid-19: Comorbidity

Covid-19 5/7: Fighting Limbo

Covid-19: New York's Antibody Tests 2

On Negative Feedback and Simulacra

SlateStarCodex 2020 Predictions: Buy, Sell, Hold

Covid-19 4/30: Stuck in Limbo

On "COVID-19 Superspreader Events in 28 Countries: Critical Patterns and Lessons"

On New York's Antibody Tests

My Covid-19 Thinking: 4/23 pre-Cuomo Data

My Covid-19 Thinking: 4/17

Evaluating Predictions in Hindsight

Linkpost: A Comprehensive Review of Ikoria, Lair of Behemoths

Seemingly Popular Covid-19 Model is Obvious Nonsense

The One Mistake Rule

On R0

Taking Initial Viral Load Seriously

Let My People Stay Home

What is a School?

An Open Letter To The Congregation Regarding The Upcoming Holiday

Coronavirus is Here

Mazes Sequence Roundup: Final Thoughts and Paths Forward

Protecting Large Projects Against Mazedom

Create a Full Alternative Stack

Potential Ways to Fight Mazes

Ten Causes of Mazedom

How Doomed are Large Organizations?

The Road to Mazedom

How Escape From Immoral Mazes

How to Identify an Immoral Maze

What is Success in an Immoral Maze?

Stripping Away the Protections

What is Life in an Immoral Maze?